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Strikes in Venezuela and the prospect of war in Iraq make Opec's belated decision on production and quota levels look irrelevant. But the cartel's action provides an important boost to its credibility. Its members account for only one-third of global production, but they supply two-thirds of exports. Restoring confidence depends partly on Venezuela, Nigeria and Algeria, the most likely defaulters, sticking to the new limits.

What did I say then?

Too good to be true? Not in Indonesia (2 years 31 weeks ago):

There is a rule of thumb to regional politics that if something appea...

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