Historical High-Low Volatility: Parkinson

The  Parkinson formula for estimating the historical volatility of an underlying based on high and low prices.

$ \sigma = \sqrt{\frac{Z}{n 4 \ln 2}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(\ln \frac{H_i}{L_i}\right)^2} $

where

$ \sigma  $ = Volatility
$ Z $ = Number of closing prices in a year
$ n $ = Number of historical prices used in the volatility estimate
$ H_i $ = The high
$ L_i  $ = The low

http://www.sitmo.com/eq/173

What did I say then?

Hundred-Dollar Oil - as it appeared in October 2005 Atlantic Monthly (4 years 5 weeks ago):

Where do you think oil prices will be next year? Go ahead, pick a number—any number—and you can p...

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