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Endless arbitrage?

In March 2007, the spread between the interest rate component on a dollar/Korean won cross-currency swap (CCS) and a vanilla domestic interest rate swap (IRS) was just 20-40 basis points. In mid-April 2008, after widening to as much as 500bp in November, the spread remains huge, at around 400bp. Experts say the development is indicative of a liquidity crisis in the South Korean market. At the same time, it presents an arbitrage opportunity for investors.

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AsiaRisk - Korea Basis Arb May 2008.pdf96.14 KB

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What did I say then?

Europe's excess liquidity is passed into risky hands

"We live in a cyclical world and we have been here before......We have not seen any accidents recently.....but potentially somewhat inevitable." - Julian van Kan, head of loan syndication at BNP Paribas